12 v 5 = Book It

You’ve probably found all of the analysis and information you need on the NCAA Tournament by now.  But in case you need a refresher, you might as well pore through the NCAA’s March Madness Central.

Games tipoff tomorrow just after noon Eastern.  And, yes, you can watch them online while you’re supposed to be working.  Does it get better than that?

One quick note to get you ready for the games.  The experts will tell you that the odds are favorable for a #12 seed to upset a #5 seed.  The experts are right. 

Since 2001, 41% of matchups of 12 v 5 seeds have proven to be first-round upsets.  Over that time, in every year except 2007, at least one 12 has beaten a 5.  Last year’s upsets included #12 Villanova over #5 Clemson and #12 Western Kentucky over #5 Drake.

The Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky find themselves with the same seed this year, matched against #5 Illinois.  Tournament perennials Arizona and Wisconsin are candidates to upset Utah or Florida State, respectively.  Your other 12 v 5 matches the Panthers of Northern Iowa against Purdue

You heard it here first (ok, maybe not first but you still heard it here) – at least one of these #12 seeds will keep the trend alive this year.

And, finally, let the celebration begin.  This year’s CBS broadcast will mark the first NCAA Tournament of the post-Billy Packer era.  Not a season too soon.

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~ by acm213 on March 18, 2009.

One Response to “12 v 5 = Book It”

  1. […] told you about the recent history of #12 seeds defeating #5 seeds and Arizona and Western Kentucky joined the Badgers in keeping that trend […]

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